Supercrunching the Oscars

February 20, 2009

Nate Silver, of fivethirtyeight.com fame, has made his predictions for the Oscars. Or to say this more accurately, he let’s the data make the predictions.

Using logistic regression analysis, he looks at dozens of data sets over decades to build a model that look at multiple variables to predict the probability of the outcome of a particular event. Like who will win best Actress. Or the presidential election.

(Or what combination of elements on a landing page will have the highest contributory value in predicting conversion.)

nymag article on Nate Silver and the Oscars

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